As an outsider, I've never quite understood the way that American presidential elections are run. Why do the potential opposition candidates spend the first half of an election year
attacking each other, drawing attention to each other's weaknesses? Surely this just helps the incumbent President? I just hope that whoever wins the race to be the Democrat candidate can go on to beat
George Bush. I won't go in to why now, but take yourself
here (Bush Watch) or
here (CNN) to read more about the US President.
After seemingly ignoring him for the past year, President Bush has decided to
go after Osama Bin Laden again; it's amazing what capturing a wanted man can do to your
approval ratings. So, when will he be caught? The most likely dates are:
w/c Monday 19 July - Just in time to pour cold water on the Democrat national Convention.
w/c Monday 23 August - The week before the Republican Convention.
w/c Monday 18 October - Two weeks before the election. A pretty handy time to get an approval boost.
Other likely times are the weekends of any US holidays, so that's the weekends commencing Friday 28 May (Memorial Day), Friday 2 July (Independance Day), Friday 3 September (Labor Day) or Friday 8 October (Columbus Day).
My money is on the Memorial Day weekend. George Bush has received a lot of flack over his
military service (or lack of it), and for not attending any of the
military funerals of those killed in Iraq. I can hear him now: 'See, those that lost their lives in Afghanistan and Iraq didn't die in vain... the war on terrorism is being won' etc, etc. Or am I just a little too cynical?
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